Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Hi everyone, and welcome to season 27 of Minor Leagues.

I'm excited I finally have access to the blog and hope to make the league a little bit better by posting on occasion. I love HBD, so my goal will be to post as often as possible. I'm thinking a minimum of at least once a week. I'm not the strongest writer. More of an oral presentation type of guy. If my blogs come through as a stream of consciousness don't hurt me.

Let's start with a little league history for the newer guys.

This league was founded by erffdogg. His HBD profile is here. http://www.whatifsports.com/hbd/pages/popups/userprofile.aspx?uid=336821

As you can tell by his seasons and WS titles the guy was dedicated to the game. Here is an interview of the man about HBD.
http://mlbbhbd.blogspot.com/2008/12/owner-interview-erffdogg.html

Erffdogg is also the reason for the erffdogg memorial league world. I would consider this the big brother to Minor Leagues as many of the owners here also participate. No offense to this world of course (Minors is actually my favorite) but the ownership has been more steady.

wholck established a rule if you were around during erff's time you are not allowed to leave. Obviously, you can do whatever you choose but I can't remember a guy leaving that was around during errf's time.

I didn't know the guy personally. I wish that I did though because we definitely share a passion for this silly baseball sim.

I hope to have a preview or rankings up soon, Maybe this weekend if I have a chance.



Thursday, January 23, 2014

Season 25 Quick Recap

Since the blog was inactive for all of Season 25, here's a quick look back at the season's big stories.

FREE AGENT FRENZY
Season 25 started off with a bang as a strong class of free agents moved around the league. Scranton, as usual, ended up with the big prize: 29-year-old former Montgomery pitcher Allen Shaw took a 5-year, $110M deal to become Big Blue's newest ace. The top position player on the market made a much more surprising move, however - infielder Pedro Fernandez, late of the Zephyrs, went to Iowa for 5 years and nearly $100M.

HALL INDUCTS THREE
After a long and spirited debate over the merits of a number of different candidates, three players joined the Minor Leagues Hall of Fame in Season 25: Pitchers Reid Monroe (19 votes) and Albie Marrero (18), and DH Adam Carter (24). Pitcher Pedro Arroyo just missed with 13 votes. Even with those three voted in, the ballot is likely to get quite crowded in the next few seasons, with the legendary Julio Rincon having already retired and other luminaries such as Marcus Walker and Henry McFeely likely to follow him very soon.

TRADING PLACES
Mid-season was dominated by one of the craziest trade markets I've ever seen in HBD. When longtime playoff contenders Omaha and Buffalo both got off to poor starts, they started selling off veterans left and right, including many of their biggest stars. Buffalo sent Ernest Adkins to Norfolk, Howie Donovan and Tony Viriato to Jackson, and Tori Belitz and J.J. Spoljaric to New Britain; Omaha moved Neil Bottenfield to Norfolk, Fernando Trevino to Richmond, Harvey Charles to Syracuse, Max Ordaz to Memphis, Wilton Beck to Salt Lake City, and Raul Benitez to Toledo. Also on the move during the regular season was Trenton's 2-time defending MVP Orlando Canseco, who was traded to division rival Salt Lake City. That's quite a frenzy of activity for a single season!

FEELING A DRAFT
With the top overall pick in the season 25 amateur draft, Burlington took high school pitcher Alex Berroa. A flamethrower with precision control and killer splits, Berroa lacks the stamina of a truly elite starting pitcher, but still clearly has the potential to be a real monster of a player down the road. Gary Craig, the top pitcher from the college ranks, went #2 overall to El Paso. Other draft highlights include outfielder Jerrod Higginson (4th overall, Jacksonville), the draft's best hitter; pitcher Malcolm Brooks (6th overall, Pawtucket), who was neck-and-neck with Berroa and Craig as the draft's best pitching prospect; and 2B Vin Huson (17th overall, Albuquerque), a top-10 caliber prospect whose inexplicable slide to the middle of round one may have made him the biggest steal of the draft.

DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME
Season 25 featured two memorable Wild-Card playoff races. In the NL, Iowa capped a surprising season with their first playoff berth since season 18, and were nearly joined by Toledo, whose playoff drought has lasted just as long. But a diastrous 3-9 mark to close out the season left the Mud Hens just out of the postseason picture, as the Jackson Generals captured their second Wild Card in three years. Meanwhile in the AL, the race for the sixth and final playoff spot came down to the season's last day, with Memphis' win clinching their place in the postseason, just one game ahead of the underdog Trenton Thunder.

A POSTSEASON FOR THE AGES
The Vancouver Canadians were the 800-pound gorilla of Minor Leagues this season, easily cruising to a 108-54 record and crushing Iowa in the Division Series. But in a shocking turn of events, they were undone by New Orleans in the NLCS, a classic 7-game affair that turned on the Zephyrs' dramatic one-run, extra-inning win in Game 6. The ALCS, too, went to 7 games, with division rivals Dover and Richmond duking it out until the bitter end. Richmond won game 7 at home to take the series, and then went on to pound New Orleans, 4 games to 1, for their third World Series title and first since season 11.

AWARDS SEASON
Unlike recent seasons, Season 25 had plenty of clear-cut winners for the league's major hardware. Dover slugger Joseph Chong easily took the AL MVP Award with his great .309/.368/.665 batting line and 64 homers, while Zephyrs outfielder (and free agent-to-be) Angel Molina took home his second MVP award with an even more remarkable .339/.416/.665 slash line, 43 home runs, and 40 steals. The Cy Young Awards were easy to hand out, too - Salem's Jacob Vaughn won his third in the AL with a career-best 2.18 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, while in the NL, Vancouver's Markus Taft took his second Cy in a row thanks to his ML-leading 1.81 ERA and .195 OAV. As for Rookie of the Year honors, it was a no-brainer in the NL (Toledo outfielder Glenn Teixeira), but the AL proved a bit more difficult. 21-year-old Dover ace Luis Garza took home the hardware, but Pawtucket slugger Victor Bush came very close, falling just 2 votes shy of Garza's total.

The Blog is Back! (Ch-ch-ch-changes...)

I am happy to announce that, after a brief hiatus, the Minor Leagues HBD blog has returned! I'll be posting a Season 25 Recap soon, but before that, there are a couple of administrative notes...

First, a bit of sad news: El Paso Diablos owner firesign34, the longtime primary contributor to this blog, will not be returning to the league for Season 26. I will try to fill the gap with a post every now and then, but I welcome help from any other Minor Leagues owners who wish to join in. Anybody interested should contact wholck to be added to the contributors list.

Second, and more importantly, Scranton Yankees owner brianj000013 recently stepped down after several seasons as Minor Leagues world commissioner. I will try my best to take over that role as well, but it won't be easy - through Brian's tireless efforts, Minor Leagues has remained one of the best private worlds in all of Hardball Dynasty. I think I speak for the entire league when I say THANK YOU for everything he's done.

Monday, September 23, 2013

The Flirty Forty

So if your 40 and single with a good job the young sexy chicks at the bar might be checking you out. Oh wait, in your dreams.  Umm, yeah this is about the last forty games of the season especially those that have a shot at the playoffs.  For some that is still a dream.

AL North

Salt Lake looks to have a handle on things with a 10 game lead.

AL East

New Britain also has a 10 game lead and looks to go unhindered into the playoffs.

AL South

Is this division as inept as their records indicate?  Looks can be deceiving sometimes but the title is still up for grabs as the Biscuits have faltered and the Braves have picked up ground albeit slowly.

AL West

Salem has a 22 game lead and looks primed to take the #1 seed though they still need to shake loose from New Britain's prying eyes.

The Wild Card race might wind up to be a free-for-all before the season ends. Dover stands atop the fold here with Fargo holding onto the second slot.  Neither one can get too complacent as there are seven other teams that could get hot and make a run at them.

NL North

Stands to reason that Buffalo and Scranton are having their seemingly annual tiff.

NL East

The Bats got pissed at me at the beginning of the season and decided to really prove they are the team to beat.

NL South

Maybe it is pick on the South teams this season. New Orleans is atop but everybody is still in the race for the title

NL West

Vancouver holds the lead and a slim run for the #1 seed at the moment. Those pesky Wranglers are getting ready for another round up so things aren't that definitive. 

Las Vegas and Scranton hold the Wild Card slots at the moment.  Truth be told, unless something drastic happens not much of a race here.

I have seen some odd seasons but this one seems to take the cake.  First the draft may have been deep but in all reality I didn't see any real stars to be all that thrilled about. The International Market has been a crap shoot with too many broken porcelain thrones. Eight teams in the South division and only one with a winning record at the moment. That may not seem odd except last year the worst of these teams had 69 wins and 5 of them were in the playoffs. 


Sunday, September 22, 2013

The Butch News

Mal asked an interesting question about Butch Stewart that I just had to go snooping and finger out the situation. Two of the ten errors were dropped foul balls. Don't ask me how this is possible because it is one of those errors you hardly ever see. Since his glove and range is phenominal it doesn't seem realistic to this game but it might be that he is trying too hard. In a nutshell, he gets to the impossible catch and drops it, more than likely, can't hold on. All the others have been throwing errors. Even with a pretty good arm, shit happens. The shit in this case is a 1B that isn't all that defensive minded and should be left out of the pick off attempt equation. Further enhancing the trouble is a 2B that isn't great at covering the bag on steals, getting there or catching it if he does. The SS can get to the bag on a steal, catching it might be a tricky situation at times. We certainly can't pin the problem on the Fielding Instructor.

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

A Little News

I have to applaud my Low A Diablos, 24 wins in a row is a nice streak you don't see very often. You would think they would be in first place but they barely gained 5 games on the front running Braves. I have seen a 22 win streak by a ML team but I tell you that is very rare.

The International Market has taken a beating this season. Anybody with a decent pulse is getting some money though it isn't the big bills.

Alving Megias got $1.2M from Charleston. Looks decent for a lefty but his pitches ain't all that sophisticated.

Javier Unamuno picked up a $2.2M payday from Oklahoma City. Touted as a 3B but we have a hard time believing he can play above the 1B position.  Seems to strike out a lot but does connect for home runs.

Oklahoma City also signed  Albert Suarez for $1.4M.  Another project player that just doesn't have the splits.

El Paso went hog wild over Yadier Espinoza with a $13M payday.  Diablos think he is better than what the scouts are seeing. I kinda doubt it really but was the best prospect I have seen all season.

Tomas Samuel got $1.2M from Salt Lake.  If his splits get better than what we see then there is a good chance. Still worth the money the way I see it.

Pawtucket made head-lines signing James Gao for $16M.  Many teams got out early as he isn't the greatest hitter with cataracts. Still, how can you pass up on what could turn out to be a GG SS that has decent power, contact and splits?


Saturday, September 14, 2013

DITR's

The DITR function is totally random as far as I can tell.  I have seen an already elite player get the advantage but it is very rare. Just as rare is the increase actually makes the player viable for the ML. Normally teams that are bad, like the Diablos get four of them in a season like this year. Normal range for that is zero to four btw, don't think I have ever seen anyone get more than four. . Of course it didn't help all that much, just longer careers in the  minors maybe which is a bit helpful. I normally hope my DITR's are catchers as they can turn out to be fringe players if their PC gets up to the upper end. I actually got two short relievers which is normal and two starters which is unusual. Still, none of them I consider even fringe players but can be very helpful in the development process of other players and getting the minor league team to the playoffs. One thing to note, DITR's have a tendency to develop differently, especially if they are young. They tend to develop more after the first three years than normal players to reach their potential.

There is the initial DITR jump I like also but you don't get to see it if it was from a just drafted player. One of mine was an International that was signed at the end of last year.  I must have thought he had enough potential for the low minors then (and spend spare cash on)  but now can possibly make it to AAA. Three were actually minor league vets and that is all they ever will be which happens quite often.

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

International News

With all the hype being on the draft I almost over looked something exciting. No! It wasn't the fact the Diablos finally ended their 11 game losing streak which I don't understand as I think we are much better than our record indicates.

Arodys Gonzalez signed a $15.5M deal with the Norfolk Tides. If things go well, even if I don't like them being over the age of 18, he could be ready for ML action in a season and a half easily enough. He has the potential to be a very good long reliever or maybe a solid 5 inning starter.  A decent buy for the money if things work out well.

Grade: A-

Monday, September 2, 2013

Draft Review

With the first pick of the season 24 draft, Fresno selects Javier Posada, catcher, Fairmont High School in MN (didn't like Maple River?). Good defensively but doesn't possess the Pitch Calling skill and his arm could be problematic at times. He has a big bat which lured Fresno into taking him with the number 1 pick. Truthfully I consider him more of a DH than a catcher which makes him a possible future trade bait later with an AL team. 

Grade: A-

2. Andy York, CF, 
Burlington Lake Monsters: I am not that inclined to believe he can play CF but 2B has its rewards. I like his hitting style more than Posada though not as powerful. His speed enhances is ability to be a great ML player.

Grade: A+

3. Joe Stockton, SS, Durham Bulls: His health did not scare Durham away but maybe should have. Quality SS is a maybe but 2B/3B is always a distinct possibility. Might have better power number and thefts than York if he has a long career.

Grade: A-

4. Kip Phelps, 1B, Norfolk Tides: He isn't gonna be great defensively at 1B, just adequate comes to mind. Actually has the ability to be a lead-off hitter or in the the number 2 slot even though he doesn't have the speed most look for. Just saying he doesn't have the quality pop most look for in the 3 thru 6 slot and too good to be the bottom end of the order.

Grade: A-

5. Horace Duran, SP, Charleston RiverDogs: Did anyone expect the best starting pitcher in the draft to fall this far? I was hoping one more to be truthful. He could turn out to be a project in the making but does have the possible skills to be very good. Ground ball flame thrower with good to exceptional control, decent splits and pitches. Gets degraded heavily though with the thought of a longer than usual minor league career and health.

Grade: B+

6. Bernie O'Malley, P, El Paso Diablos: With the best hitters and starting pitcher off the boards we turned our attention to the best reliever. We think he could be a bit of a project also as we are hoping he turns out to be the shutdown closer we want.

Grade: A

7. Delmon Walker, 2B, Albuquerque Isotopes: Doubtful he will ever rise above a strong LF in reality. Could be a good power hitter if his contact rises above mediocrity.

Grade: B

8. Julio Pena, P, Augusta Green Jackets: There could be some contention as to whom got the best shutdown closer. Bernie grades out better in the eyes of the scouts but that doesn't mean Julio is no knockoff.

Grade: A

9. Pat Skipworth, LF, Fargo Moorhead Redhawks: LF looks very doubtful in my books and 1B looks more likely. Has some power to go with the very good eye and contact but might need to get lucky.

Grade: B

10. Douglas Milton, 2B, Little Rock Travelers:  Could be a project to play 2B and to hit well for that matter. Has lots of speed but doesn't have much ability to use it.

Grade: B

11.  Alberto Colome, CF, Syracuse Chiefs: Quality CF is a given, not great mind you. Has plenty of speed for the theft department. A tough out as he hits most anything and has some pop to go with it and is very lucky against righties. Home run balls has a tendency to elude him however. Will the health and durability issues keep him on the bench is the question.

Grade: B

12. Howard Bibby, SS, Iowa City Cubs: I had a hard time placing him in my top 10. He has the future ability to be a GG SS but it is doubtful he will rise to the occasion. Hitting isn't exactly his forte but does have the speed and know how.

Grade: B

13. Randy Frazier, SP, Pawtucket Red Sox: How bad was starting pitching is this draft? Here is the second one take with the 13th pick no less and two closers already taken. He is a tough sell to be a quality ML starter in my books. Can his splits rise enough to be useful, are his first two pitches adequate enough. Too many unknowns. Truth be told my second round pick looks just as good.

Grade: B

14. Don Stetter, RF, Oklahoma City Indians: He won't be great in RF but it could be the best position for him other than 1B. Doesn't have great speed but will steal a base form time to time catching everybody by surprise. Could be a decent hitter in the end with some power.

Grade: B+

15. Christopher Sisler, SS, Omaha Storm Chasers: Chances of playing SS is mighty thin to nonexistent as 3B is probable. Can steal a base from time to time. Hitting is a mixed bag as he has some pop and luck but really looks hesitant about swinging. Maybe it is hand and eye coordination.

Grade: B+

16. Todd Pence, SP, Rochester Red Wings: If he was a lefty I would say he could be great buts as a righty, that is a different story. His splits aren't something to brag about and his control is actually so-so good, will his velo, GB and pitches bail him out is the question.

Grade: B

17. Vince Murphy, 2B, Boise Hawks: I thought about taking Vince with the 6th pick just because I didn't think he would sign. If he does sign, you get a guy that can play RF and is a very good hitter with some power.

Grade: A-

18.  Chip Simmons, LF, Toledo Mud Hens: Chances are he will sign. LF looks kinda promising but maybe 1B might be a better influence. Hitting might not be robust but has some pop.

Grade: B

19. Luis Cantu, 3B, Salt Lake City Bees: This is a player I had all over the board before I decided he wasn't worthy of a high pick. Should be a pretty good 3B is an easy assumption. Me and his anemic contact is a head scratcher but the rest has all-star hitting written all over it. How long will it take before pitchers realize he swings ans misses a lot.

Grade: B+

20. Walt Lara, SP, New Britain Rock Cats: Has some good splits but the middling control and pitches just doesn't look very promising at this point.

Grade: B

21. Del Brinkley, SS, Jacksonville Suns: I couldn't decide if he was to be ranked 3rd or 4th on my board. I think he could play SS, well not great but could be a GG 3B or 2B easily enough. Has some speed and power which is highly sought after in any of those positions. Good contact helps him out tremendously but those anemic splits caused his stock to drop, maybe further than need be.

Grade: A

22. Hector Delgado, P, Dover Senators: Good control and some possibly decent splits doesn't outweigh the fact that he has the velo of a little leaguer and very little pitch integrity to go with it. Health is even more of a strikage.

Grade: B-

23. Tony Vallarta, SP, New Orleans Zephyrs: I thought about taking him as lefty starters are not well liked but his health shot that down. I think he might be the most viable starter at the ML level out of this draft and that really isn't saying much.

Grade: B+


24. Cy Spencer, SS, New Britain Rock Cats: Reality will set in sooner or later that he isn't cut out to be a SS as 2B/3B is a better fit with some CF thrown in for good measure. Has some speed but hitting isn't all that great.

Grade: B

25.  Shep Bittle, RF, Las Vegas Wranglers: RF might be too much to handle for him which leaves 1B. Health is an issue Good eye, power and contact but could be a total waste because a right handed pitcher is an alien power to him.

Grade: B

26. Will Kinney, P, Rochester Red Wings: Signing looks doubtful at $8M.

27. Ron Pritchett, 2B, Jackson Generals: Not to give anything away but, he can't play anywhere close to 2B and LF is about as good as it is gonna get. Has speed but hitting isn't all that great either.

Grade: C+

28. Andrew Pearson, P, Norfolk Tides: Health isn't great but short relievers tend to survive that. Here is the catch 22 portion, can he be a closer with very little stamina and high durability. My thoughts would be to use him as a setup B to get out of an inning which is very useful. I actually like the thought put into this pick.

Grade: B+

29. Lou Pettyjohn, SS, New Orleans Zephyrs: Could be a reach at signing which might be good news, at least I wouldn't put much effort into it.  Little or no health but is a solid 3B prospect.  Does well at the plate and can steal a base.

Grade: B+ if he doesn't sign, B- if he does

30. Pedro Santos, SP, Vancouver Canadians: A good pick this late in the draft normally. We are not convinced a starting pitcher can survive long on one pitch and four junk ones.

Grade: B

31. Lloyd Carter, SP, New Orleans Zephyrs: I have had my fill of below 50 control pitchers, they just don't work for long regardless of good the rest is.   That makes this guy dead in the water with me.

Grade: C

32. Al Mujica, P, Louisville Bats: Unknown

33. Amp Young, P, Salem Keiser Volcanoes: Unknown




Monday, August 26, 2013

Draft

Okay, will have to do this in code a bit so as not to give that many hints but will discuss the top ten players on my board and how I am handling them. My scouting is 14 all the way around so there is some lead way for error on my part. What slots they will fall in will actually change daily as I rethink things

1. Overall 87-SS: Bad arm, good hitting, anemic health. Make a good 2B/3B. The health is too scary so I sent him to the curb.

2. Overall 86-2B: Not that great at 2B and his arm really isn't good enough for RF either. Good hitter with power unfortunately he hit the curb also because of his Bio. Though I have thought about changing my approach and taking him with the 6th overall pick and get the pick next year as his chances of signing are very slim but worth the chance.

3. Overall 83-LF: I moved him down the board to the 8th slot because the best he could be is a 1B. Could be a very good OBP hitter with a little pop and I might reconsider.

4. Overall 82-SS: Could be that big GG SS but hitting isn't that great. Not real keen on his lackluster Makeup but is in the 3rd slot at the moment.

5. Overall 82-P: The best starting pitcher on my board and meeting the projecteds is gonna be tough. I don't see him as a Cy Young candidate but needs says he has to be in my #1 slot.

6. Overall 81-3B: 3B is very doubtful at the ML level and might struggle to find a position in all reality.  One of those that is too good for 1B but not good enough for COF. Hitting could be good with some power. Under the circumstances he winds up in the 7 spot.

7. Overall 81-2B: 2B is not really his forte though it is close. Hitting looks good but deceiving I think. To me he projects too high to be viable but only pushed down to the 6th spot.

8. Overall 81-SS: SS is very doubtful except in a backup role but would make a very good 3B and maybe 2B. Hitting isn't great but does have some power. Currently resides in the 4th spot.

9. Overall 80-2B: Could be a GG 2B/CF, well he projects there anyway. Health is an issue. Hitting might be on the powerful side but may be inconsistent. I actually kicked him to the curb.

10. Overall 80-LF: Best he could be is a 1B. Could be a surprisingly good hitter. I have no need for 1B so he got pushed down a long way.

11. Overall 80-SS: Could be an outstanding 3B as he is no where near SS status. Hits well but the contact just isn't there to be too successful. May have to rethink him but still won't make my top ten.



Internationals

Enrique Cruz was offered $6.2M by the Oklahoma City Indians. He could be a nice addition to the pen as a long reliever as I don't think he has enough Stamina/Durability to be a starter. Being a bit of a Health risk also didn't help his going price very much. However his pitching abilities are definitely not in question as they could be top-notch. For the price a very good buy.

Onelki Santos chased down a $5.9M bonus with the Toledo Mud Hens. We will give him the benefit of the doubt that he could be a GG SS. Hitting with power is good but not often and can only do it against lefties maybe. Price might be high as he would probably fall into the second round pick comparatively.

Felipe Diaz sunk in with the Charleston RiverDogs for $4.3M. Health was a risk many turned down.  Pitching abilities are there but could be relegated to to the pen with a lackluster Stamina. Still me thinks it is a relatively good buy.

Yoo-Nah Wang chimed in with a $3.5M buy in with the Boise Hawks. Not sure he has the ability for 3B and may wind up in COF at the ML level if he gets that far. His hitting has lots of power just not much consistency to go with it. Really, everything is in the name and the Yoohoo Girlz just love his bottle.

Lonny Zumaya only gets a mention here because I bid on him initially and was his #1 choice for 4 days. Never got a message that someone else was interested except when he signed, "Money bird gets the worm." grrrr.. For $750K more than one was bidding me thinks.  I like defensive PC catchers but I wouldn't have went that high for him so I am not thoroughly disgusted.

Thursday, August 22, 2013

For the Lack of Anything Better

It has been the most boring season I have ever seen. I have seen 30 plus Internationals and haven't seen one yet that is really worth bidding on though I do have one of those hard to find cream pies on the radar. He is holding out to see if someone else bites I guess.

It is hard when you are this far in the season and the highest paid player is Felipe Diaz who was yanked from the rolls with a seemingly generous offer of $4.3M by Charleston. He really looks like he could be a great ML middle reliever at some point if he doesn't trip over a rosin bag and break his arm.

Yoo-Nah Wang tied up loose ends and joined Boise for $3.5M. Not real sure he can play 3B all that well if at all and might wind up at COF or 1B if at all.  Has all kinds of power but has to hit the ball first which doesn't look like a priority.

I would tell ya about the teams in first place, the pretenders etc..but everyone can look at the standings and see that. And they do look very odd to me.

I could tell ya about Albuquerque, they are the best 6-27 team I have ever seen in my life time here. The only thing I can't tell ya about is their managerial settings. I have looked at the box scores and players for the last 6 or 7 games and can't find anything out of the way.

Then again look at my team. Yeah, we don't have the great pitching but we are not getting clobbered. We can field but hitting is something totally foreign to these guys for some reason. I am so confused I have given up any hope.

Maybe something will happen that is exciting enough to really write about soon.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

NL Prognostication

Since everyone is waiting with baited breath.

NL North

Scranton held off Buffalo last year for the division crown after a phenomenal start by Toledo. They certainly don't make it easy. After looking thing over quite carefully I tend to think Scranton has the better overall team if used correctly. In my estimation Toledo may have the better pitching staff but the offense is lacking and may succumb to the "Dog Days".  Buffalo looks to be right there and once again will go down to the wire and I definitely don't count them out. Burlington has taken it in the shorts the last couple of seasons and this one will be no exception as it rebuilds but will flabbergast teams at home.

NL East

Louisville ran away with the division last year and they assume it will again this year, could that be a misconception?  Now to the meat and bones of the situation believe it or not.  Louisville actually has the best lineup at the moment though not by much and the worst pitching staff of the four. So it should turn out to be tight race between all four. Augusta is playing short handed for a while and I can see why and could clearly turn things up a notch shortly. I would put more faith in the River Dogs if they had a better semblance of a catcher.  I like the Tides pitching staff but the offense lacks the oommphh.

NL South

New Orleans and Jackson fought to the end last season with the Zeps coming out on top. Don't let the start of the season foll anybody. New Orleans and Jackson will be poking at each other in the end. Iowa City is a sleeper and will be very tough to beat at home. Little Rock is improving but too many ferocious opponents will make them travel too far.

NL West

Vancouver has owned this division for a while even though Las Vegas made a great showing last season. Don't expect a repeat performance as the Canadians should be triumphant and could easily reach the promised land this time around. Las Vegas is an interesting place to play and its players are deceiving but we don't think they have what it takes. Fresno and Albuquerque just don't have enough tigers in the tank to sustain a long season.

Yeah, the upset of the season since I am going with my heart in choosing Augusta and Buffalo over Louisville.

1. New Orleans
2. Vancouver
3. Scranton
4. Augusta
5. Buffalo
6. Jackson

Monday, August 12, 2013

AL Prognostication

There is a two day window before the season stats for this and normally I take advantage of it. This time around though real life got in the way of my fake life which happens from time to time. Better late than never I think, ohh gave that up years ago.


AL North
Last year Salt Lake won the division crown. Will they prevail again? They have the personnel to do it. They will be pestered all season long from their division mates but have the fortitude to do it again.
Syracuse has made great strides to become competitive and they are very close. They will give Salt Lake a run for their money but lack depth in the pitching department that is still in the throws of strengthening in the minors.
Rochester has enough in the tank to be misleading but if anything goes wrong there isn't much in the recovery wagon to be hopeful for.
Fargo is relatively young with some key vets thrown in. They are looking better than past teams but are not quite ready for the limelight as of yet.

AL East
This division could be wild and wooly as all four teams will be highly competitive.  Rochester won it all last year but now they are under new management and reside in Dover. They have some aging vets holding on for one more season so it may not be easy for them.
New Britain does look the strongest. Any team that decides Wascar Martin can't play at the ML level must be loaded.
The Durham Bulls may be an up and comer. They have been rebuilding and it could be time for the dividends to pay off but somewhere the youthfulness eludes me.
Pawtucket are no slouches either and could darn their way into the playoff picture also.

AL South
Last year half of the playoff teams came from this division, don't expect a repeat performance..err well maybe. Don't look now but this could actually be a four horse race.
After looking things over, Montgomery appears to have the strongest team but can they recapture the crown?
Jacksonville looks good enough to move up in the world.
Richmond doesn't look like last years team for some reason.
El Paso might just be a dark horse surprise that can't be taken lightly.

AL West
Salem won the World Series last season and looks to repeat that feat and has the team ready and willing to do it.
Both Boise and Omaha may have something to say about that however. They aren't going to roll over and play dead as both a very playoff worthy.
Oklahoma City is biding their time rebuilding and what a rebuild it is shaping up to be.

This is gonna be tough as I am throwing the crystal ball out the window for false information this year so far.

1. Salem 
2. Salt Lake
3. Montgomery
4. New Britain
5. Syracuse 
6. Omaha in a very cramped tight one. 

Monday, August 5, 2013

Hall Of Fame Voting

Yes it Hall Of Fame voting time and as usual it brings a few tense moment between owners and their favorites.  The most important thing is that you vote. Now there was a little chatter about Cesar Chavez.

I actually like Chavez to be in the Hall one day but in my opinion there are better players.  He has the hardware and pretty decent stats and was more impressed with his RBI's and Stolen Bases.  The let down to me was the amount of strike outs per season and the number of home runs hit. He was after all in a somewhat neutral home park, can't remember if this one favors pitchers or hitters in its neutrality but it isn't much.

As comparison, I offer Adam Carter who did more with a bat with a hell of lot less plate appearances than Chavez. Of course I am not voting for Carter either though I think he deserves heavy consideration also even though he was primarily a DH.

I did vote for Pat Anderson because it isn't easy to get a power hitter that played a decent 2B. His entire career with one organization is not an easy accomplishment also. Yeah, his home park was neutral to Home Runs but it favors pitchers heavily.

Grover Singleton drew high marks from me as did Nicky Throneberry and Chick Hogan along with Carter.

McKay Cassidy, Stone Coveleski, Vin Kerr, Albie Marrero, Fernando Mercado, Reid Monroe, Turner Rollins, Phil Stevenson and Jeremi Webster drew interest from me in the pitching department.

I finally settled on Cassidy, Kerr, Marrero and Monroe. If I had another vote I would have went with Mercado.

Friday, August 2, 2013

Rule 5

There was a lot of picking over in the Rule 5 draft, mainly because there wasn't much to pick from.  Point in fact, Fresno either passed with the first pick not finding anything worth having, messed up the settings or just plainly forgot. Was one of the smaller drafts I have as only 18 were chosen. How many will hit the waiver wire tomorrow is another story.

The first player taken was Morgan Brantley by Burlington.  Huh, why didn't I protect him? Truthfully, if he was a real SS I would have but other than that, oh well.  Not much of a hitter, does have speed but the best he could play is 3B/RF.

Dana Schalk went second being picked up by Durham. He was #1 in my chart and probably many more. Why not, he could be a GG at 2B or CF. Has speed but isn't a great hitter.

Next we had Norfolk taking Michael Lee. Listed as a 1B but to me that is very debatable.  At the plate he isn't half bad with a little pop in the ole bat and could get better but we kind of doubt it.

Geovany Montero was picked up by the RiverDogs. RF could be a bit of a stretch but was chosen because of a halfway decent bat and his speed.

The Diablos chimed in next with Tim Sager. I bet Rochester was scratching their head over my pick. I actually thought about this for quite some time, like off and on for most of the day. Just needed a GG backup type to play several positions as I have two other SS's on the roster and both are aging.  So what if he isn't much of a hitter, neither are the other two. Believe it or not I had to look hard to find him as he was ranked in the 90's.

We thought Cristobal Neruda would smile after he was summoned by Albuquerque, it just didn't happen.  Not that great in RF and hitting is pretty blase if you ask me but can blaze a trail to the bathroom.

Fargo got in the act by sending bus tickets to Glen Raymond to play in the wheat fields. 3B? In whose dreams? RF is a iffy maybe even though comparatively just as good.  Does have the keenness to slap the ball around with a little pop and steal a base here and there.

Santo Peralta became the first pitcher taken. Little Rock loves the selection and he could be a very nice Setup B type pitcher.

Syracuse snagged Minnie King without batting an eyelash. The only catcher taken as there wasn't anything to be proud of in that realm. Wonder if he was named after Pearl?  It was easy to see why New Orleans didn't protect him as he isn't much of a catcher. Hits with power and terrorizes lefties. Question remains as to whether he could be a DH.

Iowa City went for some pen help also with the likes of Albert Upshaw. He could be a nice addition as a Setup B role. My thoughts is if he doesn't improve after this season, he could very likely find his way back to the minors.

Omaha picks Ricky Farrell for the pen. Our thoughts here is that he might look decent on paper but not on the field.

Nick Osborne picked Dover, yup you read right..lol. Nick is listed as a 2B, I'm wondering if he can actually find it. Could have some fun at COF though.  Hits with awesome power when he isn't striking out that is which is probably most of the time. Everybody likes to watch hem waddle around the bases also.


Willis Miller was the only starting pitcher chosen in the first round. Not sure Jackson was really happy or not about the selection. Willis does have control issues as he is either bouncing them across the plate or sneaking them by the batters at eye level, sometimes near the eyes.

Andy Simms was the last player taken in the first round as Scranton made a conciliatory offer.  Listed as a SS but most would put him nowhere but 3B at the ML level. Not a bad hitter as he makes the other team work for the out at least.

Thursday, August 1, 2013

Free Agent Signings

It has been a slow process this season as few Type A's have been signed and it is getting late. But here is a run down of the key players involved.

Ubaldo Villa was the first to ink a deal with Richmond. Money wasn't the issue has he signed quick and wasn't a real bother to the purse strings. It might be that it was expected he would be a DH but it looks like Richmond intends to play him at 1B, the reason New Orleans gave up on him.

New Orleans lost another by the name of Alberto Domingo. I am inclined to believe that he was over priced as his proclivity as a closer is not ideal. Montgomery gave up a lot of money to find out if he can do the job.

Durham made off with Russell Koskie from Omaha. He was holding out for more money that didn't come his way. He is a very good lefty starter in my books but may not have the real ability to sustain him. That might account for his up and down seasons.

Montgomery stayed with the pitching game signing Pablo Guillen to a rather large salary considering his age. Hopefully there is an escape clause for the last year. The on-off again pitcher hopes to bring stability to a recent perennial powerhouse.

I never thought I would see the day when a pitcher with less than 50 control would be a Type A, let alone garner what I would call a humpty salary. Charleston seems to be unmoved by it and so should we I think.

I must be missing the boat on this one as Pawtucket must have gotten into a bidding war for Brad D'Amico.  Yes he can play RF and attempt to play a decent 3B. He hits with power but really, is he worth that much with his somewhat low contact?

Scranton made the deal of the week, to me anyway, signing Turner Flores to a measly 3 year deal. I saw him late last night and was about to transfer money to bid on him but waited because I hate losing money transferring. Why I didn't see him earlier is beyond me except I wasn't looking for a 2B/CF. My attitude says he is better than D'Amico any day of the week.

With the remainder of the day to go, I expect several more Type A's to be signed. I did have a problem finding some of them as their starting price tag is usually the dead give away. Now for the Type B's:

Yadier Castillo signed a nice deal with Rochester. He may be much better than a couple of the Type A's if you ask me.

Buffalo wanted a hitting catcher and signed Domingo Francisco cheaply. Not really that great at catching anymore but can still put the ball in play.

Las Vegas wanted a middle reliever and put forth the effort to sign Eric Reynolds. Though it seems he wasn't thoroughly tested as of yet, looks to be a mainstay. So much so that I would have considered a five year deal.

Toledo loses one signs another in Lance Wilson. Not 100% sure on this but we think Toledo came out on top over the situation. I just like Wilson better than Castillo.

Did Dover sign  Al Sanchez to be their closer?  A true ageless veteran that can get the job done.

Fresno sneaks in with the singing of Chun-Lim Sasaki. Hopefully they got him to play 1B as he didn't look comfortable in LF.

William Baek signed on with New Briton. Good hitting, now the question remains is whether he won't look a fool at 1B as he won't get by on looks alone.

Fresno eeks in with  Anthony Bottalico to play either 2B or CF and maybe both. Although great defensively can have trouble with luck at the plate.

Herman Vernon signed with Jackson while everyone else was out trying to get a more high profile player. We think he could be a shut down closer if given the chance.

Diory Tabaka signed a deal with Albuquerque.  Shows to be a decent lefty but we wonder if he is really cut out to be a starter.

While everyone was out trying to find that big power hitter, El Paso finds DaRond Person sitting all alone waiting on a call. Yup, we didn't get him for the backup catcher role, DH will be the place for him. Joining him is Johnny Garcia playing 1B and he didn't even rate a Type B, along with Alex Gomez could make a very cheap fearsome threesome.

Here is one for ya,  Salt Lake signs Greg Menechino for more or less a vast sum of money and he was neither a Type A or B.








Coach Gathering

Here is some thoughts on coach hiring this season or at least my thoughts on why I did what I did. Is that like a doo doo...maybe I need to bring some ass-wipe to this session.

I hired Nate Duncan to be my Bench Coach because he has a high Strategy. Actually that isn't true at all, first of all I personally think paying a lot of money for a personal assistant is outlandish. Then again you need them in the minors so you need them at the Major League level, right? I thank Boise for honing his skills the last five years. He is young but very talented if you ask me that is the reason for hiring him. He may not be that great on the hitting line but pitching, fielding and base-running is a hard three-some to pass up. And to think he only wanted a AA job to begin with, wonder if he made a mess in his pants when I offered him the job?

Earl Cook was hired as the 1B coach because he was being groomed for the job the past couple of years by me. The players really didn't respond all that well at AAA in his hitting role, he just doesn't have the patience. He was also one of the best options available for the position so why not promote him.

Midre Alfonseca was an easy rehire. He is actually growing into the role rather nicely. He isn't very disciplined but gets the job done. I was very surprised that he wanted to stay for another year and I imagine he will fly the coop next year.

Bartolo Chavez wasn't my first choice for the pitching job.  Why fight the market over another coach that is only going to give you a small amount of betterment? Hopefully he will want to stay another year as last years coach wanted more money than he was actually worth if you ask me. Then again OKC must have been fighting over him, it was a crush at first sight.

Alberto Telemaco was just sitting around on the sofa watching TV when I called. So he isn't very loyal and it might hurt his reputation quite a bit. What he does have is quite a resume for a youngster. He really wanted a pitching coach position but beggars can't be all that choosey. Besides if Chavez wants to test the waters again I think Alberto will want the better job next year.

Tsuyoshi Sung isn't on any ones hitting radar for sure. He likes it in El Paso however and that is good enough for me. Comparatively he isn't considered middle tier to his peers even but strives to get better albeit very slowly.

I was perplexed when Andre Watson left and flew into the arms of another. As a Bench Coach no less, how could you Jose? Enter Todd Darwin who wasn't being courted by anyone and I just appeasingly took him to be my newest FI.  Not sure I can trust him staying around, it appears he has wondering eyes and gotta keep him away from the Pepsi and Bud Girlz.


Friday, July 5, 2013

Award Voting

It is time to think about voting for player awards for the season. If you don't vote the vote foes to the first player on the list in each category automatically. Therefore a little consideration is in order. Also some stumping for votes is in order as I am stuck on  couple.

AL MVP

A lot can be said of all the individuals in the list. Canseco played a great 3B though his average seemed a little low but had some nice power numbers with all those doubles and dingers. Menechino was an OBP machine with some pop and played a good LF. Marichal put up some good numbers and played a GG 1B, well over rated for that position, but looks like a red herring to me. Candelaria had a great season as his average seemed a little high for his ratings, struck out too much for my taste. Chong had the homers but the rest just didn't match his capabilities. So it turns into a toss up with Conseco and Menechino, I like both but tend to lean toward the tougher position myself.

NL MVP

My first though was "WOW!" four guys with an average over .300 and two with OPS at 1.000. Hines played 1B instead of COF and easily won the GG, struck out a bunch though but stilled had a very good average. Molina led the league in hitting with a .346 average and a .437 OBP and has speed to boot, played a poor LF and probably should play 1B. Diaz put up some good numbers and played a good LF, 43 doubles and 40 homers is hard to come by. DeLeon, I thought at first may have been a bit of a joke but really didn't hit to his capabilities in my mind but had some good power numbers, shame on the manager for not having 2B listed as he had more errors than necessary as he was playing out of position.  White played very well but is hampered by his durability which actually limits his AB's quite a bit compared to the rest of the field. I have to go with Molina here as he has the all around numbers.

AL Cy Young

Jacob Vaughn hands down is my choice, such good numbers.

NL CY Young

I am actually up in the air on this one as Julio Guillen has the best record and good numbers but Clay Thomas has better overall numbers but his record comes up a bit short. Tough one to decide on.

AL Rookie

Wasn't all that impressed until I hit Alcides Rojas and Al Herrera. The question now is which one deserves it the most?

NL Rookie

Joseph Nomo heads a fine cast of pitchers and he can hit a little too.

Side Note:  Patrick Piper rides into the record books as he set a new threshold with 33 Good Plays in CF breaking the old record of 31 held by Benny Torres.



Friday, June 28, 2013

Pitching in Question

Pitching for some reason eludes me sometimes. What should be a superstar pitcher sometimes fail while pitchers that should be left at AAA perform like a superstar. Uncanny as it may seem, Jesus Molina has been brought to our attention. Truth be told as Brian stated, is right on the mark. Like Jose, I would expect maybe a little more though.

I looked the coaches over during his life in the majors and didn't draw that much of a conclusion. The only fact I could really come up with there is he pitched differently in season 20 with a bullpen coach with better Discipline and Strategy. But the only thing he did better was allow fewer home runs then. So we can actually rule out coaches as a cause.

What did strike me was the configuration of the pitching staff this year. Four starters and 8 short relievers. I have seen this work but normally the starters can go at least 6 innings a start and with this staff that isn't a given. The high number of appearances, innings and pitches could be a little much for what his ratings suggest in a season.

What I did consider more importantly took a while to digest from his game logs. 7 blown saves and 0 saves seems a little hard to believe. It is actually tough to pick up a save when pitching in the 7th or 8th inning all the time. Also the fact that the rest of the pen staff other than the closer only have 7 between them. Another interesting concept is that he has one loss credited to him from his blown saves, his most recent outing. Above anything else, the 7 losses this season hurts more than the blown saves in this case.

As for his career, I see nothing out of the ordinary with 12 Saves in 52 chances. We would like to see it better or course but Saves don't exactly grow on trees for non-closers but blown saves do. Now, if he was a closer..... I would be very afraid.

What troubles me the most about Molina is his higher than expected OAV and WHIP. I would expect it to be in the .245/1.30 range with his ratings. Ok, so he has a history of being well over those marks. Still not sure you can pin that on the coaches either so I had to dig a little deeper. Catcher ERA is under 4.00 so that leaves them off the hook this season at least.

The left side of the infield defense is actually pretty porous if you ask me and that can be a bane to right handed pitchers. The LF isn't all that great either but their stats aren't showing the full defensive picture.  I had the same problem with my pitching staff at the beginning of the season. It got fixed  because of necessity more than anything else. Hey, if you look at my pitching staff right now, they are ranked 4th overall in the AL, not bad for this sorry lot and a last place team. I fixed the problem when Perez got tired of playing 1B and sent him down to AAA to recuperate. Basically I put a 3B in RF and a SS in LF, viola team started winning, of course it helps to have a GG CF also.

So there you have it in a nutshell, there is nothing wrong with Molina.